Increased evapotranspiration demand in a Mediterranean climate might cause a decline in fungal yields under global warming |
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| Authors: | Teresa Ágreda Beatriz Águeda José M Olano Sergio M Vicente‐Serrano Marina Fernández‐Toirán |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Genius Medioambiente, Soria, Spain;2. área de Botánica, Departamento de Ciencias Agroforestales, EU de Ingenierías Agrarias, Universidad de Valladolid, Soria, Spain;3. Sustainable Forest Management Research Institute, Universidad de Valladolid and INIA, Palencia, Spain;4. Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (IPE‐CSIC), Zaragoza, Spain;5. Departamento de Producción Vegetal y Recursos Forestales, EU de Ingenierías Agrarias, Universidad de Valladolid, Soria, Spain |
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| Abstract: | Wild fungi play a critical role in forest ecosystems, and its recollection is a relevant economic activity. Understanding fungal response to climate is necessary in order to predict future fungal production in Mediterranean forests under climate change scenarios. We used a 15‐year data set to model the relationship between climate and epigeous fungal abundance and productivity, for mycorrhizal and saprotrophic guilds in a Mediterranean pine forest. The obtained models were used to predict fungal productivity for the 2021–2080 period by means of regional climate change models. Simple models based on early spring temperature and summer–autumn rainfall could provide accurate estimates for fungal abundance and productivity. Models including rainfall and climatic water balance showed similar results and explanatory power for the analyzed 15‐year period. However, their predictions for the 2021–2080 period diverged. Rainfall‐based models predicted a maintenance of fungal yield, whereas water balance‐based models predicted a steady decrease of fungal productivity under a global warming scenario. Under Mediterranean conditions fungi responded to weather conditions in two distinct periods: early spring and late summer–autumn, suggesting a bimodal pattern of growth. Saprotrophic and mycorrhizal fungi showed differences in the climatic control. Increased atmospheric evaporative demand due to global warming might lead to a drop in fungal yields during the 21st century. |
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| Keywords: | bimodal pattern climate change global warming long‐term monitoring mushrooms production mycorrhizal fungi phenology saprotrophic fungi |
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